Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 91444.584074 96434.874798 101421.441188 106774.767781 112355.685970 117998.869984 124132.826724
2025-06-29 82718.342309 90320.704581 98127.931952 106734.345156 115944.892917 125495.765177 136137.516704
2025-07-06 76470.359790 85841.095818 95674.599972 106741.610929 118828.067586 131605.136461 146111.313526
2025-07-13 72822.517090 83641.223025 95198.258115 108427.041236 123113.668846 138881.903976 157053.965117
2025-07-20 69755.367552 81744.457113 94752.512310 109862.287658 126876.004449 145386.214557 166991.122810
2025-07-27 66803.261960 79729.399105 93953.305732 110695.184758 129786.690967 150803.620904 175611.787269
2025-08-03 63790.426600 77445.711024 92670.627193 110811.358567 131740.405423 155030.105879 182804.179450
2025-08-10 61275.845836 75585.338449 91735.238760 111196.588872 133890.538328 159394.235314 190093.250917
2025-08-17 58836.243144 73683.647691 90635.639399 111282.593763 135602.243722 163186.044243 196678.378445
2025-08-24 57259.210570 72715.419616 90550.914154 112486.637030 138561.488179 168383.984189 204879.205554
2025-08-31 55078.366249 70925.686769 89406.755133 112356.891302 139884.537284 171627.861109 210772.555763
2025-09-07 53955.109970 70360.506289 89675.970484 113871.486507 143128.243500 177113.371374 219309.353501
2025-09-14 52513.084425 69368.987681 89409.262138 114735.305699 145610.542161 181741.625110 226910.779576
2025-09-21 50776.275808 67950.577460 88570.073014 114858.976414 147169.962847 185259.198757 233200.294177
2025-09-28 49109.671579 66558.339796 87707.788072 114904.110282 148594.365816 188590.718012 239261.010147
2025-10-05 48401.827810 66345.577565 88280.524955 116701.995832 152155.741474 194508.264306 248471.453881
2025-10-12 47613.342217 65994.371052 88651.595734 118227.536082 155372.108671 200013.121907 257208.128603
2025-10-19 46575.500068 65282.003540 88533.836709 119112.058282 157775.616101 204521.869642 264744.054104
2025-10-26 45248.907162 64149.187035 87842.127015 119235.464546 159201.109940 207814.327460 270787.901944
2025-11-02 44116.920238 63235.014276 87397.470865 119644.364566 160964.826209 211515.997195 277343.973738
2025-11-09 42903.168741 62174.262306 86729.291349 119735.651765 162303.123239 214676.840864 283231.356739
2025-11-16 42250.637471 61842.155717 86990.394397 121013.496076 165147.979873 219727.711378 291501.215762
2025-11-23 41040.975542 60721.436822 86185.447606 120875.805319 166156.643990 222460.158966 296866.405736